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November 20, 2009
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Egypt's House of the Rising Son

By Jon B. Alterman 20 Nov 2009
World Politics Review

It is a strange kind of republic in which presidents serve for life. It is an even stranger one in which rulers inherit power from their fathers. Yet, that is the direction in which the Arab Republic of Egypt is headed. For more than a decade, President Hosni Mubarak's son, Gamal, has been the only Egyptian for whom it was safe to harbor high political ambitions.

Help Wanted: European President

By Nicolas Nagle 29 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review BRUSSELS, Belgium -- If all goes as expected and the Lisbon Treaty finally enters into effect in the coming months, the European Union will soon face another major challenge: electing a permanent president for the European Council. The debate has already begun in Brussels over not only who would be the most suitable candidate for the job, but also over the functions the post should include.

Inside Obama's Iran Policy Shop

By Jordan Michael Smith 28 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review In breaking off relations with Iran almost 30 years ago to the day, the U.S. lost its most valuable source of information about the Islamic regime. To fill the void, the Obama administration has turned to scholars and experts for insight. Indeed, President Barack Obama's policy of outreach toward Tehran has been decisively shaped by the wide array of Iran experts from whom he has taken advice.

China's Climate Change Policy: The Dragon's Green Streak

By Prashanth Parameswaran 28 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review Chinese President Hu Jintao's landmark address to the U.N. Climate Change Conference last month captured the essence of China's Janus-faced climate change policy -- which, despite remarkable progress, continues to be bogged down with implementation problems and overshadowed by China's concerns with economic growth.

New Coalition Pulls Germany's Merkel to the Right

By David Francis 27 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review BERLIN -- For weeks, German Chancellor Angela Merkel and her Christian Democratic Party have been locked in tough negotiations with the Free Democrats over both cabinet appointments and tax policy. In the end, Merkel was the one to compromise, suggesting that she might increasingly find her centrist roots at odds with her preferred coalition partner on the right.

Pakistan's Civil Society Still Needs U.S. Support

By Jamsheed K. Choksy 26 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review A major reorientation in U.S. policy toward Pakistan is underway, with the planning, administration, and staffing of reconstruction projects being handed over to the government of Pakistan and to private Pakistani organizations. What remains uncertain is whether local Pakistani organizations have the expertise and capacity to implement development efficiently.

In Guinea, China's Africa Policy Still Off-Key

By Lauren Gelfand 23 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review The United States and France have joined a chorus of disapproving African states to condemn recent events in Guinea, which have dimmed hopes that the resource-rich West African nation might finally achieve democratic civilian. One voice that has opted against singing from the international hymn book, however, is arguably Guinea's most important interlocutor: China.

Balance of Power Key to U.S.-China Relations

By Ali Wyne 22 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review As the People's Republic of China celebrated its 60th anniversary, observers used the occasion to advocate strengthened cooperation between China and the United States. However, the substance of bilateral cooperation depends on the balance of power between the two countries.

India Wary of U.S. South Asia Policy

By Neeta Lal 21 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review NEW DELHI -- The controversy caused in Islamabad by the Kerry-Lugar Bill, which authorizes an annual grant of $1.5 billion to Pakistan for military and non-military purposes over the next five years, is by now well-known. But because of its implications for the entire South Asian region, the bill has also been greeted with alarm in India.

India Finds the Going Tough in Afghanistan

By Siddharth Srivastava 21 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review NEW DELHI -- India has long seen a reconstruction role for itself in Afghanistan, despite its lack of direct military involvement in the country. Its interests there are obvious: A strong Kabul ensures that jihadi forces in Pakistan do not use Afghanistan as a backyard assembly line for militants who can then be turned against India. But New Delhi is not finding its Afghan sojourn easy.

Zimbabwe Unity Government Once Again on the Brink

By Mxolisi Ncube 20 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review JOHANNESBURG, South Africa -- Zimbabwe's national unity government, limping since its formation, is now threatened with an ultimate collapse, after Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai's Movement for Democratic Change party announced that it was temporarily pulling out of the coalition.

LNG and Russia's Shifting Gas Strategy

By Matt Stone 19 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review When Russia invited Western energy companies to help develop Siberian natural gas fields in late September, many observers viewed it as proof that low oil prices had forced Moscow to reconsider its adversarial relations with private investors. That interpretation ignores a more important narrative that emerged from the meeting about Russia's shifting attention toward liquefied natural gas.

Steps Toward Crafting a Nuclear Deal With Iran

By Kaveh Afrasiabi 16 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review An agreement on the delivery of nuclear fuel for Iran's medical reactor in all likelihood will have positive ripple effects on the broader, macro issues of concern regarding Iran's nuclear program. It will boost Tehran's flexibility, enhance its mood for cooperation with the IAEA, and even increase the IAEA's chance of persuading Tehran to re-adopt the intrusive Additional Protocol.

The EU Lisbon Treaty and Transatlantic Relations

By Soeren Kern 16 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review The Lisbon Treaty is designed, in part, to significantly boost the EU's global clout. A more powerful EU will, in turn, affect changes in the world's geopolitical landscape in ways that are still unknown. Among the big unanswered questions is what impact the Lisbon Treaty will have on transatlantic relations in general, and on the North Atlantic Treaty Organization in particular.

China's Hard Choices on Iran

By Jon B. Alterman 14 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review China increasingly seems to be the odd man out in international efforts to regulate the Iranian nuclear program. The French have taken a surprisingly hard line, and there are signs that Russia may be stiffening its resolve as well. China, by contrast, seems invariably to caution patience. Ironically, China's policy does not match its interests in the Gulf, which align almost wholly with those of the U.S.

India Set to Emerge on Global Nuclear Stage

By Saurav Jha 13 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review Following the Nuclear Supplier Group's waiver in September 2008, India seems ready to take its place in the world of nuclear trade -- not just as a purchaser, but as a supplier, too. A proposed sale to Kazakhstan of India's indigenously developed 220 megawatt electric Pressurized Heavy Water Reactors serves to underline that India will not be content to remain a mere recipient of nuclear technology.

Obstacles Remain for Historic Turkey-Armenia Pact

By Yigal Schleifer 12 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review ISTANBUL, Turkey -- Yesterday's signing of protocols by Turkey and Armenia that pave the way for restoring relations between the two countries was a historic moment. The protocols spell out in the clearest terms to date what needs to happen in order for diplomatic ties to be restored and for the two countries' borders to be reopened. But significant hurdles still stand in the way of that actually happening.

Kenya's 'Window of Opportunity' Closing

By Lauren Gelfand 09 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review NAIROBI, Kenya -- Kenya's "window of opportunity to deliver reform is rapidly closing," former U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan warned at the end of his latest visit to Nairobi. Though delivered in his characteristic velvet tones, Annan's message was firm: Accelerate the reform agenda, or risk the potential of an irretrievable decline into crisis, with economic as well as political consequences.

Pakistan's Military Riled by the Kerry-Lugar Bill

By Claude Rakisits 09 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review The Kerry-Lugar bill, which President Barack Obama is expected to sign off on soon, has deeply upset the top military leadership in Pakistan, including Army Chief of Staff Gen. Ashfaq Kiyani. Given the stringent conditions attached to the bill, Washington policymakers should perhaps not be surprised by the strong reaction. But could this have been avoided? And what will be its impact?

Indonesia Makes Gains, Raises Concerns in Fight Against Terror

By Prashanth Parameswaran 08 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review The killing last month by Indonesian authorities of Southeast Asia's most-wanted terrorist, Noordin Mohammad Top, was a major blow to Islamic militancy in Southeast Asia. But even as Jakarta's "law and order approach" to eradicating terrorism continues to net key terrorist operatives, it has come under increasing scrutiny for eroding the fabric of Indonesia's democracy.

Balkans Thaw Opens the Doors to EU for Croatia

By Risto Karajkov 07 Oct 2009 | World Politics Review The doors to the European Union have reopened for Croatia after its new Prime Minister Jadranka Kosor reached a historic deal with her Slovenian counterpart, Borut Pahor, over the two countries' border dispute, in Ljubljana on Sept. 11. But the Slovenian veto, though now lifted, heightened awareness that the future of the EU accession process in the Balkans is full of other potential vetoes.