Venezuela’s Election Will Come Down to These Factors

Venezuela’s Election Will Come Down to These Factors
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro during a ceremony marking the start of the judicial year at the Supreme Court in Caracas, Venezuela, Jan. 22, 2021 (AP photo by Matias Delacroix).

In spite of exit polls that suggested a big win for opposition candidate Edmundo Gonzalez Urrutia, Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro still claimed victory in yesterday’s presidential election. The national election authority said last night that Maduro had won with 51 percent of the vote, a result immediately challenged by the opposition. (Reuters)

Our Take

None of the speculation in the lead-up to yesterday’s vote had been about who would win—polls always showed Gonzalez winning by a large margin. Instead, the question was always how Maduro would respond to that result. So far, and as expected, Maduro is trying to steal the election, rushing to declare himself the victor as soon as the polls closed yesterday.

The real outcome is yet to be determined, however, and it will depend on a number of factors. For one, there’s the opposition’s response. We know they planned for a scenario like this, as opposition leader Maria Corina Machado said as much in an interview with WPR last week. But their next move isn’t yet clear, with Gonzalez so far only saying he was not calling on supporters to take to the streets or break the law.

Keep reading for free

Already a subscriber? Log in here .

Get instant access to the rest of this article by creating a free account below. You'll also get access to two articles of your choice each month and our free newsletter:
Subscribe for an All-Access subscription to World Politics Review
  • Immediate and instant access to the full searchable library of tens of thousands of articles.
  • Daily articles with original analysis, written by leading topic experts, delivered to you every weekday.
  • The Daily Review email, with our take on the day’s most important news, the latest WPR analysis, what’s on our radar, and more.