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It’s common knowledge that the possibility of a second term for former U.S. President Donald Trump is sending shivers up the spines of Washington’s NATO allies. But the prospect of a second Trump presidency is also heightening anxieties among U.S. allies in Asia, which have also relied on U.S. security assurances for decades.

Former Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte.

The feud between the Marcos and Duterte families in the Philippines is also a reflection of the new Cold War brewing in the region. With Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos openly welcoming expanded security cooperation with Manila’s Western allies, the Dutertes have positioned themselves as China’s best hope in the Philippines.

Indonesian presidential candidate Prabowo Subianto and his running mate Gibran Rakabuming Raka.

Prabowo Subianto appears on track to win Indonesia’s presidential election. The current defense minister will inherit two distinct legacies from President Joko Widodo—one of democratic erosion and one of policy successes.

Japanese Prime Minister Kishida Fumio meets with South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol.

In August 2023, Japan, South Korea and the U.S. signed a set of documents intended to deepen and institutionalize trilateral cooperation. But whether these agreements can endure will depend on domestic politics in Japan and especially South Korea, and not least of all whether their disputes over historical issues can be overcome.