Abu Dhabi’s then-Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan greets Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed.

East Africa has long been a region of great geopolitical importance and, as a result, the object of fierce competition. Now, recent developments, including Sudan’s brutal civil war and Ethiopia’s port access deal with Somaliland, have shone a spotlight on the United Arab Emirates’ influential role in regional affairs.

A Houthi forces helicopter approaches a cargo ship in the Red Sea.

At the height of enthusiasm for globalization, many policymakers convinced themselves that the benefits of a more connected world would encourage potential spoilers to accept a stable international order. The same complacency was visible in the recent shock over attacks by Yemen’s Houthi movement on merchant shipping in the Red Sea.